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In partnership with the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in Ukraine and the Inter-factional Group (IFU) on Strategic Foresight for Ukraine in the Ukrainian Parliament, the APPG has established an Interparliamentary Dialogue between UK Parliamentarians and Ukrainian Parliamentarians focused on how to better anticipate and prepare for risks arising from Russian aggression against Ukraine.  The Dialogue draws heavily on the use of foresight techniques as part of its work and has a significant focus on global catastrophic and existential risks.  It brings together some 35+ UK and Ukrainian Parliamentarians.
 

Development of scenarios for the rebuilding and reconstruction of Ukraine.  As part of the Dialogue’s activities, the IFU on Strategic Foresight for Ukraine has asked UNDP in Ukraine and the APPG to develop a set of scenarios for the rebuilding and reconstruction of Ukraine.  The Ukrainian Parliament will use these scenarios to stress test some of the policies that they are considering and this will feed into the work of the National Council for the Recovery of Ukraine from the War.  To this end, we have been running a six month long scenario planning exercize which has involved multiple workshops bringing together dozens of experts.  The objective is to develop a set of different possible scenarios regarding how the future may unfold in Ukraine and the strategic implications of this. 

Component on the potential use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine.  The Dialogue has also involved a focus on nuclear issues.  One of the workshops focused specifically on developing a set of scenarios involving the possible use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine, considering such questions as what the fallout might be for the environment, the food supply, the economy, and elsewhere.

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